祝孩子们天天健康快乐！

标题: 非学一例：学校里教不出“窈窕淑女”？ [打印本页]

作者: 八根儿 时间: 2006-6-22 14:34
标题: 非学一例：学校里教不出“窈窕淑女”？
8岁女孩退学回家跟父母学做优秀全职太太<img src="http://imgs.xinhuanet.com/icon/xilan/blank.gif" border="0" onclick="javascript:window.open(this.src);" alt= style="CURSOR: pointer" onload="javascript:if(this.width>screen.width-500)this.style.width=screen.width-500;" /><img src="http://imgs.xinhuanet.com/icon/xilan/blank.gif" border="0" onclick="javascript:window.open(this.src);" alt= style="CURSOR: pointer" onload="javascript:if(this.width>screen.width-500)this.style.width=screen.width-500;" />[url=http://www.XINHUANET.com]www.XINHUANET.com[/url]　　2004年10月24日 09:01:57　　来源：四川新闻网-成都商报昨日，记者与这位退学回家接受父母特殊性别教育的小女孩南南进行了一次“触动心灵”的面对面交流为了将女儿塑造成一个优秀的女人，成都的一对年轻夫妇将应该上小学二年级的女儿留在了家里。昨天下午，记者在城南一家咖啡厅里见到了这名小名叫南南的女孩。今年8岁的南南已退学半年多了，看起来比同龄孩子成熟许多，穿一身时尚的牛仔装，烫卷了的长发扎成两个高高的马尾，鼻梁上的一幅眼镜给小姑娘增添了几分淑女气质。　　我知道明天明年要做什么 第一眼印象南南在妈妈陪同下在咖啡厅等待记者—— 南南：我想喝咖啡。张女士：你自己点吧。服务员：这位女士你好，我们想提醒你，小孩子不能喝浓度太高的咖啡…… 张女士：谢谢你，但我想你可以和我的孩子直接交流，跟她谈一下。 (结果南南在服务员指导下点了一杯清淡的美式咖啡。) 　　第一次对话 摄影记者在体育馆给南南拍照—— 南南：请给那位姐姐照几张(指着正在表演带操的一位学生)。摄影记者：为什么？南南：你不觉得她的姿态很美吗？ 第一次专访 听了记者和妈妈的对话，南南也希望能自己和记者进行交流—— 记者：为什么不喜欢学校？南南：我在学校当干部，很多时间都花在管同学上，自己根本玩不成。而且同学之间也没什么好交流的，老师就更没意思了，讲课的内容很无聊。记者：你现在的学习快乐吗？南南：很快乐。我觉得我学的东西比其他孩子在学校里学的更有用，而且我也比他们更开心。虽然爸爸妈妈没有问过我以后想做什么，但我总是知道我明天要做什么，明年要做什么。记者：你喜欢和小朋友一起玩吗？南南：还行。我喜欢和男孩子一起玩，和他们在一起可以做很多事：抓鱼、挖蚯蚓……，但女孩子就总是嫌东嫌西，很难找到什么真正有趣的事做。记者：你能自己决定自己的穿着打扮吗？南南：能！我的衣服多数都是自己买的，妈妈也同意我按照自己的意见打扮自己。 (在南南自己的要求下，父母带她烫了卷发，买了流行的乞丐牛仔裤和尖头皮鞋。) 今后生活需要的才是孩子该学的 “其实南南也在成都一所双语小学念过一段时间，但我们发现她在学校并不快乐。”陪同南南的妈妈张女士告诉记者，她觉得这不是小孩子应该拥有的童年生活，就想尝试用自己的方式来教导孩子成长。而孩子的父亲朱先生则认为，随着国家经济的发展，会有越来越多的女孩不用做全职工作，即使女孩要工作也会从事一些个性化的东西，如钢琴教师，艺术设计师。对于一个女孩子来说，学会如何把自己的生活安排好是非常重要的。她现在就应该学会今后生活需要的东西，而不是考试和工作需要的东西。　　妈妈：小学教育内容太浅 “其实很多家长都知道现在的教育体制存在一些问题，但是他们却没想过是不是可以自己来教育孩子。”张女士说，小学阶段孩子的世界观还没成型，而且学校的教育内容也比较浅显，正是进行这种实验性教育的最好时机，所以她和丈夫义无返顾地给孩子办了退学，自己在家里对她进行教育。张女士说她现在的全部心血都花费在南南身上，虽然辛苦，却能从中体会到许多快乐。 女儿：家里学的比学校更有趣 据了解，南南现在每天早上7时起床，滑冰1个半小时后就回家上课。她上午上课的内容涉及古文、数学、历史，每天下午还要上一些兴趣班，星期一、三、五学游泳，四、六学艺术体操，星期二则上钢琴课。“我觉得在家里爸爸妈妈教我的东西比在学校里学到的有趣多了。”南南说，她觉得学校里老师讲课的方式很无聊，完全把她当作没有思想的对象在说教。事实上，父母对南南进行的中国传统和西方模式相结合的教育不但让她小小年纪就熟读四书五经，更能比一些三年级的孩子取得更高的考试分数。 爸爸：游泳体操钢琴有利于女孩 朱先生认为，游泳更利于女孩子保持身材，而艺术体操有利于女孩子养成好气质和好的走路姿势，钢琴在培养女孩子坐姿的同时，也是一种消遣。昨天下午，记者跟随南南去上了一堂体操课，发现她丝毫没有因为独自在家学习而在和其他孩子们的相处当中显得生疏和内向。“我从不要求她在学习过程中要怎么去表现，达到什么目标，而是任由她自己去发挥，去选择。”张女士说，虽然已经学了2年多，但南南现在一练下腰还是常常疼得想哭，但她自己却能从中体会到快乐。　　与父母面对面 性别教育重在如何择偶 “我们对她的教育，更多的是一些潜移默化的东西，很多内容现在看是量的积累，但随着她的成长却会发展成决定她人生和性格的因素。”张女士说，就好像《中国式离婚》的作者王海鸰所抨击的中国缺乏性别教育一样，她认为一味的按照某种标准对孩子进行同质化教育是非常不可取的。“我认为性别教育其中很重要的一点就是对孩子进行未来择偶的教育。”她说，现在很多学历高的女孩子不会谈恋爱，也缺乏在爱情或家庭生活当中获得幸福的能力，这很大程度在于她们从来没有经历过情感审美的教育。而她和丈夫则特别注重通过各方面的熏陶让女儿懂得审美，懂得生活，成为一个优秀的女人，一个具有优秀气质的女人。《中国式离婚》作者王海鸰对南南父母做法深表赞同，但同时提醒要做好失败准备本报讯(实习记者彭骥)有意对女儿进行女性生存的能力培养，这样的家庭教育要得要不得？昨日，“中国婚姻第一写手”王海鸰对此大加赞赏，但是她也提醒广大母亲“有能力看护好一个家庭绝对不是一件轻松的事情。” 赞成：成都母亲选择不错 通过作品展现婚姻家庭观念，王海鸰一直深得市民之心。在诸多场合下她都表示，传统“男主外，女主内”的夫唱妇随式就是自己觉得最为理想的家庭婚姻模式，而家庭教育方面应该顺应性别因素的天生不同。得知成都母亲的选择后，她大加赞叹：“挺好的想法！”并认为，这正好反映了现代社会男女性别在家庭分工上的“回归”，是“大势所趋”：“妻子花丈夫赚的钱天经地义。你看，德国的全职太太，国家给的钱比工资还高。在美国她们也是有补贴的，日本还有全职太太社团呢。” 提醒：全职太太并不轻松 对母亲希望自己的女儿“有能力”成为“全职太太”，王海鸰深表理解。但是，叹一口气后她语重心长地提醒到她们以为这样会比较轻松是个“要命的错误”：“把家料理好还要把丈夫守住，其实这是个特别不容易的事情，比在外工作辛苦多了。如果那些母亲是出于让女儿以后更轻松才这么打算的，那么最好不要抱过高的期望，要做好失败的准备。”据她分析，这主要是由于在中国“全职太太”还没有一个完善的体制背景：“社会观念上还认为女人要出去工作才算解放。然而不同性别有不同天性，那种观念实质上是一种性别歧视。” 论战：http://news.xinhuanet.com/forum/2004-10/27/content_2140016.htm

作者: 天堑变通途 时间: 2006-6-22 15:57
看来，明天俺应该通知俺儿子到公司来上班而不是上学学校可教不出养活这样“优秀全职太太”的先生此帖由天堑变通途在 2006-06-22 16:01 进行编辑...

作者: jjhs 时间: 2006-6-22 16:05

天堑变通途+2006-06-22 15:57-->引用:天堑变通途 @ 2006-06-22 15:57 看来，明天俺应该通知俺儿子到公司来上班而不是上学学校可教不出养活这样“优秀全职太太”的先生

俺支持孩子在学校玩...

作者: jjhs 时间: 2006-6-22 16:07
孩子该学习什么俺现在已经迷糊了,先学做人吧...

作者: jerryhao 时间: 2006-6-22 16:50
不过中国开个家政学校真的不错

作者: 梦幻妖精 时间: 2006-6-23 14:59
<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: " ar-sa?= mso-bidi-language:= zh-cn;= mso-fareast-language:= en-us;= mso-ansi-language:= 1.0pt;= mso-font-kerning:= roman?;= new= ?times= mso-bidi-font-family:= mso-hansi-font-family:= times=><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">郑也夫在中华女子学院的演讲《<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">回归家庭<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体"> <span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">学习生活》讲过<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: " ar-sa?= mso-bidi-language:= zh-cn;= mso-fareast-language:= en-us;= mso-ansi-language:= 1.0pt;= mso-font-kerning:= roman?;= new= ?times= mso-bidi-font-family:= mso-hansi-font-family:= times=>四个部分。第一个部分是关于妇女回家；第二个部分是重新理解家庭和社会；第三个部分是重新理解工作和生活；第四个部分是重新理解教育。4个部分都围绕女性说的，他的这种眼光太远了，现在好多日本女孩都是这样，上了好的大学出来工作几年就结婚，回家，但嫁得好的前提还是有一定的文化低蕴<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: " mso-bidi-language:= zh-cn;= mso-fareast-language:= en-us;= mso-ansi-language:= 1.0pt;= mso-font-kerning:= roman?;= new= times= 宋体?= mso-fareast-font-family:= ar-sa;=> <span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: " mso-bidi-language:= zh-cn;= mso-fareast-language:= en-us;= mso-ansi-language:= 1.0pt;= mso-font-kerning:= roman?;= new= times= 宋体?= mso-fareast-font-family:= ar-sa;=><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: " mso-bidi-language:= zh-cn;= mso-fareast-language:= en-us;= mso-ansi-language:= 1.0pt;= mso-font-kerning:= roman?;= new= times= 宋体?= mso-fareast-font-family:= ar-sa;=> 此帖由梦幻妖精在 2006-06-23 15:00 进行编辑...

作者: jerryhao 时间: 2006-6-23 15:22

梦幻妖精+2006-06-23 14:59-->引用:梦幻妖精 @ 2006-06-23 14:59 <span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: " times= mso-hansi-font-family:= mso-bidi-font-family:= ?times= new= roman?;= mso-font-kerning:= 1.0pt;= mso-ansi-language:= en-us;= mso-fareast-language:= zh-cn;= mso-bidi-language:= ar-sa?=><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">郑也夫在中华女子学院的演讲《<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">回归家庭<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体"> <span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">学习生活》讲过<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: " times= mso-hansi-font-family:= mso-bidi-font-family:= ?times= new= roman?;= mso-font-kerning:= 1.0pt;= mso-ansi-language:= en-us;= mso-fareast-language:= zh-cn;= mso-bidi-language:= ar-sa?=>四个部分。第一个部分是关于妇女回家；第二个部分是重新理解家庭和社会；第三个部分是重新理解工作和生活；第四个部分是重新理解教育。4个部分都围绕女性说的，他的这种眼光太远了，现在好多日本女孩都是这样，上了好的大学出来工作几年就结婚，回家，但嫁得好的前提还是有一定的文化低蕴<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: " times= new= roman?;= mso-font-kerning:= 1.0pt;= mso-ansi-language:= en-us;= mso-fareast-language:= zh-cn;= mso-bidi-language:= ar-sa;= mso-fareast-font-family:= 宋体?=> <span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: " times= new= roman?;= mso-font-kerning:= 1.0pt;= mso-ansi-language:= en-us;= mso-fareast-language:= zh-cn;= mso-bidi-language:= ar-sa;= mso-fareast-font-family:= 宋体?=><span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: " times= new= roman?;= mso-font-kerning:= 1.0pt;= mso-ansi-language:= en-us;= mso-fareast-language:= zh-cn;= mso-bidi-language:= ar-sa;= mso-fareast-font-family:= 宋体?=>

其实台湾、香港都有家政学校的。学些有用的东西，可能比学那些将来无用的东西要更好吧

作者: hq1966 时间: 2006-6-23 16:29

梦幻妖精+2006-06-23 14:59-->引用:梦幻妖精 @ 2006-06-23 14:59 <span times= mso-hansi-font-family= mso-bidi-font-family= ?times= new= roman= mso-font-kerning= 1.0pt= mso-ansi-language= en-us= mso-fareast-language= zh-cn= mso-bidi-language= ar-sa= style="font-size: 9pt; color: black; font-family: 宋体;">郑也夫在中华女子学院的演讲《回归家庭 学习生活》讲过<span times= mso-hansi-font-family= mso-bidi-font-family= ?times= new= roman= mso-font-kerning= 1.0pt= mso-ansi-language= en-us= mso-fareast-language= zh-cn= mso-bidi-language= ar-sa= style="font-size: 9pt; color: black; font-family: 宋体;">四个部分。第一个部分是关于妇女回家；第二个部分是重新理解家庭和社会；第三个部分是重新理解工作和生活；第四个部分是重新理解教育。4个部分都围绕女性说的，他的这种眼光太远了，现在好多日本女孩都是这样，上了好的大学出来工作几年就结婚，回家，但嫁得好的前提还是有一定的文化低蕴<span lang="EN-US" ar-sa= mso-fareast-font-family= 宋= times= new= roman= mso-font-kerning= 1.0pt= mso-ansi-language= en-us= mso-fareast-language= zh-cn= mso-bidi-language= style="font-size: 9pt; color: black;">

jerryhao+2006-06-23 15:22-->引用:jerryhao @ 2006-06-23 15:22 其实台湾、香港都有家政学校的。学些有用的东西，可能比学那些将来无用的东西要更好吧

其实，早N年国内就开始讨论“学（做）得好不如嫁得好”。　　妇女完全以回归家庭为目标，我看不见得是好事。　　回归家庭，先要认可家务劳动是社会劳动必不可少的部分，妇女的地位才有保障。　　目前来看，有走向社会的资本，再回归家庭，心里可能更安然。　　有的知识可能和居家过日子没有太大的关系，但可以训练思维，开阔视野，即使只懂个大概轮廓也比不学好。

作者: 毛豆 时间: 2006-6-25 22:56
当年梅林达如果不去上大学然后去微软打工，如何能成为首富夫人？

作者: 梦幻妖精 时间: 2006-6-26 11:31
<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">三、重新理解工作和生活<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">　　<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1930<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年的时候，我们这个时代最有独创性，可以称为先知的人物——凯恩斯，说过这样的一段话，值得我们再三的反思。凯恩斯说：经济问题，也就是为生存而斗争的问题，迄今为止最重要的问题，不仅是人类，而且是生物界，这个头号重要的问题，将在百年内解决；传统的目标将不存在，我们现在唯一担心的是如何调整习惯，因为几十年内我们就将放弃过去的生产方式和生存方式，以后大概每个人每周工作十五个小时就可以满足他们的生活需求了。这一段话足以使凯恩斯位居于最稀少的先知的行列当中。而且这句话不要到了百年的时候，远远在这之前将实现。<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">　　我给大家看一个数字：<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1997<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年（我手头不掌握更新的数字）全世界创造的<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">GNP<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">是<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">29<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">万亿美元，同年全世界的人口是<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">58<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">亿人，<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">29<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">万亿美元除以<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">58<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">亿人等于人均的<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">GNP<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">，是<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">5310<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">美元。全世界人均<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">5310<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">美元，多大的一个数字啊！换成人民币，不乘<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">8<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">，为什么不乘<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">8<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">？美元和人民币的比值实际上到不了<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">8<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">。实际上人民币要更值钱一些，这是一个专门的学问，究竟是多少我没有能力计算，但显然人民币要更值钱一点。我们把它放低一点，因为算得多了就是过于为我自己的观点服务了，我把它算成<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">5<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">，我想这是非常保守的，<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">5310<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">美元乘以<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">5<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">应该是<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">26500<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">元人民币，也就是说全世界的财富除以每个人，要按人民币来估算的话，合每个月<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">2200<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">人民币。人均每月<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">2200<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">人民币，生活挺不错的了。再看一看国别：美国人均<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">2.8<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">万美元，日本<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">3.7<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">万美元，瑞士<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">4.4<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">万美元，很多脑筋快的同学就会说：你主张不患寡患不均，主张均贫富。我没这个打算，这是国际政治问题，这我能解决得了吗？人家能跟咱平分吗？我所要说的是：人家今天就这么富了，现在的生产以科技为基础加速度进行，人家的今天就是二十年后的我们，没什么问题啊。人家的生产问题已经彻底解决了，人均几万美元还不解决吗？我们再过十年二十年也相当不错了。现在发生在北部世界的事情是什么？就是不需要干了还在干。都生产这么多的财富了，为什么还要大干？这是个非常复杂的问题，在这里讨论不了。我现在在大学里讲课主要就是讲这个问题。在西方为什么够了还要干呢？为了<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">fashion<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">，为了时髦的生活，为了虚荣心，跟别人攀比。从温饱上来说早就解决了，北部世界没有人解决不了温饱的。你说有乞丐，那乞丐是脑筋有问题，或是厌倦了常规的生活，那完全是另一个性质的事情。<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">　　终于有人，世纪之交的当代学者，响应凯恩斯的先知的声音。一个叫里夫金的学者<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1995<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年写了一本书《工作的终结》。我讲一讲他叙述的美国历史，十九世纪七十年代之前，美国的农业劳动力占全部劳动力的四分之三，<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1870<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年的时候降到了二分之一，<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1900<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年时是三分之一，到了<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1940<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年的时候是五分之一。到了今天是多少？农业劳动力占全部劳动力的百分之三。再看工人，五十年一个周期地看。<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1810<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年的时候，美国有<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">7.5<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">万工人，<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1860<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年的时候有<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">50<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">万工人，<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1910<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年的时候有<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">800<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">万工人，<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1960<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年的时候美国有<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1600<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">万工人，这是美国工人数字的高峰，占当时全部就业者的<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">35%<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">。再以后的历史，也就是<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1960<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年以后，美国工人的数字开始递减，而生产在不断的增长。到了今天，生产的规模和产值大概是<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1960<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年的二倍以上，可是工人的数字只有<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1960<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年的一半。<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1970<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年的时候<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">300<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">万人从事服务业，<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1990<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年是时候是<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">9000<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">万。服务业使美国免遭大规模的失业。但是谁敢说明天的服务业不是昨天的农业和工业，不遭遇这种命运？<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">　　我们再看机械和自动化的作用。<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1944<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年，美国发明了摘棉花的机器。大家知道美国南部很多黑人种棉花，当然种棉花的黑奴是更早的历史，南北战争之后仍然有很多黑人不是奴隶了还在摘棉花。摘棉机的使用使美国<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">500<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">万黑人不再摘棉花了，有机器摘了，大农场不再需要黑人摘棉花了。<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">500<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">万黑人向北方移民。学者说这是比解放黑人宣言更有效的手段，这是美国历史上最大、最快的移民。这样一个大的变迁全都是因为一个小小的机器的出笼。我们再说，过去卷烟是靠人操作，每人每天能卷<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">3000<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">支烟，一台卷烟机每天能卷<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">12<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">万支烟，能顶上<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">40<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">个人。随着新的印刷技术的发明，美国大批报社的排字工人将面临着失业的危险。但是工会和老板一直在激烈的争夺，老板不得不向工人让步。<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1966<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年时美国三家最大的报社将他们是否要使用新的印刷技术的选择权交给了工会。你们说要使用新的机器，咱们就用，你们说不使用，还是人干，咱们就用人。工会还是很厉害的，老板不敢霸道地说用机器，真的这么干的话，会有大批人下岗回家。再说一项技术，也是今天看起来稀松平常的技术——自动接话机。电话自动接话机使全美<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">6000<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">个接话员下岗。再说银行取款机，一个取款员每天可以处理<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">200<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">件业务，一个取款机可以处理<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">2000<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">件，一个取款机一周工作<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">168<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">个小时，昼夜不吃不喝在那里干，它的成本只是<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">2.2<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">万美元，它没有福利待遇，没有养老金。你说为什么老板还要用一个血肉之躯的营业员呢？所以老板当然是愿意用机器不愿意用人。黑人首先从农场下岗，而后从工厂下岗，唯一能增加黑人就业的岗位在哪里？在政府部门。此前的历史从农奴时代开始，一直是黑人被剥削，随着机器的自动化，黑人从被剥削到没用处，自动化最终毁掉了工人们最重要的一个武器，什么武器？罢工。自动化使工人再也拿不出这个有利的武器来对付老板。不错，还有一些学者提出和《工作的终结》相对立的观点，说新科技除了能代替很多工人以外，新科技也早就了一些新的产业、新的就业。比如说电话的生产。不错，新的科技也造就了一些新的产业，增加了一些人的就业，但是它远远赶不上它所造成的下岗。这样的例子我想大家动脑筋就会发现比比皆是。你想想，电脑汉字系统的文字处理，将减少多少排字工？<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">　　下面我们再看看全世界的失业情况。上个世纪五十年代全世界失业的人数<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">4.5<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">亿，六十年代是<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">4.8<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">亿，七十年代<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">6.2<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">亿，八十年代<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">7.3<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">亿，<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1993<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年，全世界有<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">13%<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">的人失业或者不充分就业。现在全世界有<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">8<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">亿人失业或者半失业。这个数字是三十年代大萧条之后的最高峰。工业文明增加了物质财富，信息革命造成了一种新的变化，增加了空闲时间，北部世界财富的增长已不在话下，更大的变化是增加人们的空闲时间。<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">　　在这一部分，我要讲的最后一个观点是：认清真正的问题。真正的问题是什么？我们能解决失业问题吗？能让更多失业的人找到工作吗？将有越来越多的人失业，这不仅是中国，也是人类世界的大势所趋。如果还没有意识到这个问题，就是没有摸到时代的脉搏。但是很不幸，不仅在中国，在很多西方发达国家在竞选的时候还在许诺，增加就业。这与人类发展的大趋势绝对背道而驰。培训是增加不了就业的。为什么不能增加就业？培训只能使一部份人代替另一部分人。比如说你下岗了，参加培训后技能提高了，你去竞争上岗，就把另外一个人挤下去了。假设你们从事的是传统产业的话，那么你们技能提高了，一定要挤下去一部分人。这是零和博弈。有<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">100<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">个岗位，有<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">50<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">个待业人员，他们培训后，有<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">50<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">个人上岗，就有<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">50<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">个工人下岗。假设你从事新兴产业的话，可能增加一些就业。传统产业的话就一点也增加不了。但是我们想想，如果文化程度不高的人，简单培训一下能够加入新兴产业吗？不能。所以说培训要增加就业是不可能的。这是一个层次较低的道理。但连这个道理也没有被社会上所有的人，乃至政治家全部消化。上面的道理就更不用提了。上面的道理，即闲暇的增长是历史趋势，实际上是在反驳主流的意识形态。主流的意思形态总是说消费带动生产，消费带动就业。实际上是非常荒诞的，不符合人类未来发展的趋势。可以从两点上反驳：第一个，如果我们承认以后的生产力越来越依靠机器，越来越依靠自动化，那么消费凭什么能增加就业呢？消费增加了可以增加机器啊。这是第一点反驳。<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">　　第二点反驳：为什么要用消费来带动就业呢？昨天你的消费挺合适的，有人告诉你说再多消费点，有些朋友和兄弟还没有就业呢，所以再多吃点，再多穿点。这不是有病吗？对于你来说，消费够了就不要再消费了。够了为什么还要消费？就业也不是目的啊。一部分人通过更多的消费让另一部分上岗，这不荒诞吗？一部分人吃饱了还要再多吃点，就是吃撑着，以求让另一部分人上岗。再说多吃点，钱从哪里来呀？多吃点不花自己的钱吗？你又不是腐败分子。多吃点要花自己的钱，意味着要多生产一点，能挣出更多的钱来。我多吃就要所挣，所以我还要额外的多工作，然后再把自己吃撑。我们今天的社会里多数人的工作是为了挣钱，工作本身乐趣不大。我们要是能达到马克思所说的工作变成自愿，那当然好。但现在只有一部分人能做到。我很幸运，我能做到。我读书读得眼睛受不了，所以现在很苦恼，要不然我读书就是极大的乐趣。我工作没有什么钟点，因为这就是我的乐趣。如果工作的人都变成像我这样，就进入共产主义了。可是目前感到工作本身有极大乐趣的，只是一小部分人。我们短时期内不可能造成多数人对工作抱有很大的乐趣，那么让大家多消费的话，就等于说让大家多劳动。多数人劳动不太有乐趣。那么告诉你多消费的话，就意味着让你多劳动，就意味着你要有更多的不幸。因为你也不怎么愿意热爱这劳动嘛。比如，满足自己恰当的消费干<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">6<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">小时就够了，但是为了多劳动多消费乃至帮助别人就业，干了<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">8<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">小时，每天多了两个小时实际上是多了两个小时的不幸。所以说我们的奋斗目标是什么？在温饱已经解决的前提下，在十年、二十年以后我们人均的<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">GNP<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">已经达到了发达国家的程度的时候，我们的奋斗目标应该是增加每个人的自主时间，即减少工作时间。有相当多的人下岗，这是大势所趋。我们说凯恩斯在<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1930<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年就说<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">100<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年之内，每个人每周工作<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">15<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">个小时就可以满足全部生活需求，<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">15<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">个小时要是按照<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">5<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">个工作日算的话就是一天工作<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">3<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">个小时。要按<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">8<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">小时工作制算的话就是两天都不到。今天世界很多地区就可以这样做，明天的全世界大部分地区都可以这样。这个变化太大了。要应对这个变化有两个办法：一个办法就是每个人减少工时，大幅度地减少工时，其实这个趋势我们已经看到了。我们的父兄原来每周工作<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">6<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">天，后来变成<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">5<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">天了。还会往前走，某一天就宣布变成<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">4<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">天了。其实在发达国家工人们愿意牺牲工资增加休闲，这多好啊！但是他们没有选择自由。为什么没有选择的自由啊？老板不愿意增加一些工人，而每个人减少一些工时。老板觉得这样不好管理。比如说老板有<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">100<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">个工人，每天工作<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">8<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">小时，他不愿意有<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">120<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">个工人每天工作<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">6<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">小时。这样人太多管理费力。愿意人少一点，他们多干一点，这样好管理。老板不愿意减少工时，老板不给这种自由。这是发达国家。但是减少工时一定是未来选择的一个方式。减少工时意味着不要有太多的人失业，大家共同承担“失业”。原来<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">8<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">个小时，现在<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">7<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">个小时、<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">6<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">个小时、<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">5<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">个小时，原来工作<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">5<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">天，现在<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">4<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">天<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">3<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">天，轮着干。劳动是权利，分享劳动机会，自己可以不干，别人不能剥夺。这是一种方式。第二种方式是社会上相当多数的人不工作，发给生活费，发的生活费足够解决温饱，绝对高于低保，但是你不能比干活的人挣的更多，人家毕竟在那干活。这个社会上以后就会有六分之一，五分之一，四分之一，三分之一甚至有二分之一不干活。这样就划分出两类人，一类是干活的人，一类是不干活的人，不干活的人数量相当大。<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">　　在这个演讲一开始的时候我就说，这个演讲有点超前，听到这里大家可能会觉得哪里是超前，简直是荒诞。但是我想和你说，我是在很认真、很理性地和你探讨这个问题。我没有多少年可活了，“你们有漫长的未来”——我一开始就做了铺垫。愿意不愿意相信我的话在很大程度上取决于你的想象力。我在北大上的课是“生物学对社会科学的启示”，这课上的非常高兴，上完这课以后充分理解了美国大牌教授的乐趣。他们坚持每年给本科生上课，绝对不是只给研究生上课。那些小孩子们是天才少年，比他们的哥哥们厉害。人的岁数大了四五岁就变得世故了，一世故以后就约束了人的想象力和创造力，<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">18<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">岁的孩子的想象力不得了！讲完课有的同学不走，热烈地继续憧憬着未来，一个同学对我说：美国的一个学者说（不是愚人节）二十年后会有超人出现，你信吗？我说：我觉得差不多，我真觉得二十年会有大变化，因为基因工程和电脑的配合是不得了的一件事情。我相信这个世纪是生物学的世纪。这个世界将被生物学极大的改造，和物理学改造这个世界完全不一样了。那时候生产力还算一回事？人类普遍的智商是<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">100<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">，这是基数，那时人类的智商都是<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">150<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">或<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">200<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">，生产力根本就不是一个事。轻而易举解决温饱问题在今后绝对不是难事。<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1930<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年代凯恩斯就跟我们说这个话了，如果今天你还觉得我在这里跟你们讲一个荒诞的故事，我只能说你不配作为一个二十一世纪的青年，你看不到趋势，你没有想象力。<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">　　我们一直以为失业是一种灾难。但是历史学家告诉我们失业不尽是一种灾难，不尽然。就举失业最严重的美国大萧条时期为例。大萧条给美国带来了巨大的文化进步。那时人们没钱，生活相对紧迫，有时间，有大块的时间没事干。于是美国的公共图书馆兴旺了，人们没事干，读书。大萧条造就了美国人的读书习惯。大萧条还造就了美国人热爱运动，还是因为没事干。当然美国大萧条的时候不是中国的困难时期，不是<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">1961<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">年，不是没吃上饭，要吃得特别好做不到，但是吃饱了。这时候就运动，它造就了美国人热爱运动的性格，给美国打下深深的烙印，形成新的习惯，热爱读书，热爱运动，热爱园艺，在家里弄点花草什么的，有的是时间，不干这个干什么呀？当美国人民因为经济上不景气而有大量时间的时候，实际上不知不觉地开创了另一个美国，造就了另一种生活习惯。这种生活习惯是文明的、高尚的、优雅的，不是功利的，天天捞票子数票子，不干别的。实际上一个不得已而为之的行为带来了一种新的生活方式。所以我在演讲的第一部分说，女人因为不得以而为之在一段时间内，在一段精力非常充沛的时候不得已回家了；不要以为这完全是一种灾难，你有勇气愿意尝试新的生活方式，你可能率先迎接新时代的挑战，率先在家里开始新的生存方式的选择。<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体"><span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">　　我再举一个例子。德国人的物质消费只有美国人的一半，但是德国人享受的休假，享受的运动，享受地艺术生活，比美国人多一倍。你说谁活的好？我认为日本人活得最惨，日本的人均收入比美国高，但是日本工人苦不堪言。日本的白领，包括<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">IT<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">都苦不堪言。日本人没算明白这个账，工作和生活的账。日本人在最深层、最大的一个问题上糊涂。要那么多财富干嘛？要的是生活，是休假、运动、艺术。我的朋友在德国呆了多年，他很少见到开着崭新的奔驰的人，通常普通人都是开着很普通很破的汽车，人们不以这个为荣，人们以什么为荣？一到周末开个家庭音乐会，十几个人自娱，拉大提琴小提琴，唱歌。德国有无数个俱乐部，干什么？打球。我这个朋友比我还大几岁呢，今天<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">56<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">岁了，加入了一个德国的乒乓球俱乐部，瓦尔德内尔等人是最高层次的，还有下面一层，他在第三层，已经相当棒了。他说在德国俱乐部每个周末打一场比赛，两个俱乐部开着车就来了，就干。音乐会，打球，合唱团，就是这样的生活方式，其实需要的物质是有限的。我去年在上海开了一个中法学术讨论会，主办一方是一个法国人，这个法国人是一个国际组织的负责人，见多识广。吃饭的时候我问了他一个问题<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体"> <span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">，先是恭维他一下，说您是见多识广，除了法国以外，您觉得哪个国家最好？他想了一会，说出一个我们大家绝对想不到的国家：意大利，说完意大利以后他停顿一下，发出一声慨叹：那里的人们的生活质量真高啊！意大利的<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">GNP<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-hansi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA">在世界上算不了什么，因此他说的“生活质量”含有丰富的内涵，含有他对生活的理解，含有一种比较早的进入现代化的门槛的民族，人文积淀深厚且见多识广的民族里的人们，对生活的认识。<span lang="EN-US" style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: "Times New Roman"; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体">

作者: 八根儿 时间: 2006-6-27 13:46
<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA" twffan="done">郑也夫的看完了，有收益，<span style="FONT-SIZE: 9pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA" twffan="done">谢谢妖精<img src="http://www.etjy.com/images/smiles/belial.gif" border="0" onclick="javascript:window.open(this.src);" alt= style="CURSOR: pointer" onload="javascript:if(this.width>screen.width-500)this.style.width=screen.width-500;" />

作者: bk3547218 时间: 2006-8-11 16:36
问题是,现在大多数的老公工资太低了.我也想当全职的,可我没那个条件

作者: dyly 时间: 2006-8-12 13:23
咱们有句老话怎么说的来着？富足而知礼节知廉耻。大意吧！咱们一直太穷了，所以经过不承认穷只追求精神生活（比如共产主义）那种，到现在向往物质富有，必然过一段时间人有了太多的钱后，才能到最后感觉还是要追求精神生活的。全民都达到这样的阶段还早，所以也许50年后，咱们也会是德国那样的生活方式。

大有希望的！不过日本人早已满足了物质了，为啥还没到这个阶段呢？也许还是富的时间不够长...

作者: 老鱼儿 时间: 2006-8-13 10:43
孩子感到开心，快乐，有兴趣，这是第一位的。其它再论。

作者: 恬宝宝 时间: 2006-8-13 11:58
我认为回归家庭，做全职太太，还是继续在职场拚搏，这个似乎不是应该由父母来选择，这个应该留给孩子自己选择，但选择做全职太太和只能做全职太太区别就很大了

作者: pearlzhang 时间: 2006-8-13 12:34
我什么看不见前一页的内容？

作者: pearlzhang 时间: 2006-8-13 12:42

天堑变通途+2006-06-22 15:57+pid886867-->引用: 天堑变通途 @ 2006-06-22 15:57 [url=redirect.php?goto=findpost&p=886867">查看原帖[/url] 看来，明天俺应该通知俺儿子到公司来上班而不是上学学校可教不出养活这样“优秀全职太太”的先生

不会吧，俺还想让俺儿子娶个能干的，有钱的，养家的老婆呢。<img src="http://www.etjy.com/images/smiles/eek.gif" border="0" onclick="javascript:window.open(this.src);" alt= style="CURSOR: pointer" onload="javascript:if(this.width>screen.width-500)this.style.width=screen.width-500;" />

作者: 李敬涛 时间: 2010-2-19 12:55
非常同意：首孝悌，次谨信，泛爱众而亲仁，有余力则学文，

欢迎光临祝孩子们天天健康快乐！ (http://www.xetjy.com/)